Baseline Assessment

IOM Libya’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) programme identified a total of 725,304 migrants from 44 nationalities in the 100 Libyan municipalities during round 52 of data collection (March - May 2024). The number of migrants in Libya has continued to increase slightly (+1%) compared to the previous round of data collection in line with a trend that started in December 2023.

The number of migrants identified by DTM Libya in May 2024 is the highest since DTM started collecting data in 2016 but remains lower than prior to the onset of conflict in 2011 when it was estimated to be around 2.5 million. Sudanese nationals have continued arriving in Alkufra and other locations in eastern Libya because of the ongoing conflict in their country of origin. DTM Libya has also continued observing an increase in the number of migrants, particularly in eastern coastal areas and western Libya as a result of greater livelihood opportunities, including in the sectors of construction, oil, trade, and agriculture, and in parts due to the relatively stable security situation in some municipalities.

This infographic presents the key findings of Round 52 of the mobility tracking and flow monitoring components of the Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) programme in Libya.

Given the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI)’s reliance on rain-fed agriculture,changing rainfall patterns linked to climate change are compromising the ability of farmers, livestock rearers and fishers to sustain their livelihoods. Reduced rainfall may decrease agricultural yields and herds, causing economic losses and forcing some families to abandon these livelihoods altogether. 

The International Organization for Migration’s (IOM) Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) in Iraq developed a rapid, multi-sectoral assessment of challenges related to displacement, environmental hazards, irrigation water supply, livelihoods, coping strategies and tension and conflict over natural resources. Data collection for this assessment took place between September and December 2023 in 804 locations across 3 governorates, 20 districts and 71 subdistricts in KRI.

The impact of climate change is less noticeable and more localized in KRI than in central and southern Iraq. No climate-induced displacement, secondary displacement or failed returns were recorded in KRI this round.

The findings suggest that climactic impacts are more widespread in Erbil than Sulaymaniyah governorates but families in Erbil have been slightly more able to adapt by employing a wider range of coping strategies like diversifying livelihoods and changing agricultural activities. On the other hand, the wider range of water-related issues reported in Sulaymaniyah, such as agricultural intensification and broken or inefficient water infrastructure, offer numerous entry points for programmatic interventions.

Since October 8 there has been an increase in cross-border incidents between Israel and Lebanon, resulting in the displacement of people both within the South and elsewhere within the country. Since October 10, the Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) has been conducting the daily monitoring of population movements. The objective of the exercise is to inform preparedness and response planning.

This latest round of Emergency Trends Tracking was initiated in April 2024 to monitor displacements movements during the Gu rainy season. Districts covered in this round include Afgooye, Afmadow, Baardheere, Baidoa, Balcad, Belet Weyne, Dayniile, Gaalkacyo, Hodan, Jamaame, Jowhar, Kahda, Kismaayo, Luuq.

ETT is a crisis-based tool that tracks sudden displacement triggered by specific events or emerging crises. The objective of ETT is to help prioritize humanitarian response and to enable partners to deliver rapid assistance. Based on previous shock induced displacement patterns, the humanitarian community expects that people will continue to move toward urban areas in search of humanitarian services. Consequently, the ETT coverage focuses on the main urban centers and surrounding villages for each assessed district. The data is collected through Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) at the location level, from Sunday to Wednesday every week. It includes information on new arrivals, numbers and demographic of IDPs, reasons for displacement, intentions, humanitarian assistance and priority needs among others.

The ETT tool also adapts to regional contexts: because of the very high number of IDP sites in Khada and Daynile districts in Banadir region and in Baidoa district in Bay region, a zonal approach has been adopted for these areas. Each week, KIIs are first conducted at the zone level to indicate to the field teams which locations have received the most new arrivals and which need to be assessed. To facilitate the joint analysis of the CCCM (Camp Coordination and Camp Management) Cluster’s New Arrivals Tracker (NAT) and ETT data, the assistance and needs indicators are identical in both tools.

Overview:
This report provides an overview of the total population of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan, including those displaced both before and after the onset of conflict on 15 April 2023.  

Key Findings:

• An estimated total of 10,540,215 IDPs were displaced across 8,556 locations, in 183 localities in all 18 states in Sudan.
• An estimated 7,720,119 individuals were displaced internally within Sudan since 15 April 2023. 
• An estimated 26 per cent of IDPs who were initially displaced prior to the onset of current conflict experienced secondary displacement since 15 April 2023. 
• Approximately 2,196,355 individuals crossed borders into neighbouring countries since 15 April 2023. 
• The top states of origin among IDPs were Khartoum (36%), South Darfur (20%), and North Darfur (14%).  
• The states hosting the most IDPs were South Darfur (17%), North Darfur (14%) and Central Darfur (8%). 
• Over half (55%) of IDPs were reportedly children under the age of 18-years-old. 

Note: The number of IDPs displaced post 15 April 2023 (7,720,119 IDPs) includes the estimated 1,000,676 IDPs who were initially displaced prior to 15 April 2023 and experienced secondary displacement since 15 April 2023. DTM Sudan defines an internally displaced person as any person who has been forced or obliged to flee from their habitual residence due to an event dating from 2003 onwards.