Mobility Tracking

On 22 July 2024, a flash flood caused by heavy rainfall resulted in significant damage to several camps within the Dikwa and Mafa local government areas (LGAs) of Borno State, including Fulatari, Government Girls Secondary School (GGSS), and Masarmari camps. The intense rainfall led to the destruction and damage of shelters and personal belongings of many displaced households. In total, 265 shelters were damaged, affecting 4,444 individuals across 906 households. The affected population included 600 women, 491 men, and 1,460 children.
Of all the needs identified, food, non-food items (NFIs), and shelter were the most prevalent.  WASH and shelter were also listed as a priority need in the locations affected.
Following these events, DTM (Displacement Tracking Matrix) field staff conducted rapid assessments to inform the humanitarian community and Government /partners, and to enable a targeted response. 

Between 15 and 21 July 2024, a total of 2,615 new arrivals were recorded at locations in Adamawa and Borno states. The new arrivals were recorded at locations in Askira/Uba, Bama, Damboa, Dikwa, Gubio, Gwoza, Mobbar, Monguno and Ngala Local Government Areas (LGAs) of the most conflict-affected Borno State, and in Demsa, Fufore, Ganye, Gombi, Hong, Lamurde, Madagali, Maiha, Michika, Mubi North, Mubi South, Numan, Song, Yola North and Yola South LGAs of Adamawa State.
ETT assessments identified the following movement triggers: poor living conditions (867 individuals or 33%), improved security (711 individuals or 27%), seasonal farming (530 individuals or 21%), military operation (348 individuals or 13%), fear of attack (103 individuals or 4%) and family re-unification (56 individuals or 2%).

Between April and May 2024, IOM DTM deployed the SA round 36 and VAS round 19, in 11 regions across Ethiopia. The November - December 2023 data (Round 35 for SA and Round 18 for VAS) was compiled with the April - May 2024 data (Round 36 for SA and Round 19 for VAS) to consolidate national IDP and returning IDP figures updated to May 2024. The locations assessed during both rounds of data collection are not duplicated in the consolidated figures. 

As of May 2024, an estimated 664,509 households comprising 3,306,693 IDPs were identified in 2,739 accessible sites across Ethiopia. Conflict was the primary reason for displacement reported nationally (68.7%), followed by drought (16.5%) (8.4%). Somali region hosts the highest number of IDPs primarily displaced by drought nationwide (an estimated 397,913 individuals or 73.1% of the national drought caseload), while Tigray region hosts the highest number of IDPs primarily displaced by conflict nationwide (an estimated 871,056 individuals or 38.3% of the national conflict caseload).

According to the data collected through the Village Assessment Survey, an estimated 593,543 returning IDP households comprising 2,584,607 returning IDPs were identified in 2,651 accessible villages across Ethiopia. Tigray region hosts the highest number of reported returning IDPs (an estimated 970,265 returning IDPs or 37.5% of the national caseload). This is followed by Amhara region (an estimated 951,931 returning IDPs or 36.8% of the national caseload) and Afar region (an estimated 223,313 returning IDPs or 8.6% of the national caseload).

 It is to be noted that South Ethiopia region is not included due to operational constraints.

Since October 8 there has been an increase in cross-border incidents between Israel and Lebanon, resulting in the displacement of people both within the South and elsewhere within the country. Since October 10, the Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) has been conducting the daily monitoring of population movements. The objective of the exercise is to inform preparedness and response planning.

This latest round of Emergency Trends Tracking was initiated in April 2024 to monitor displacements movements during the Gu rainy season. Districts covered in this round include Afgooye, Afmadow, Baardheere, Baidoa, Balcad, Belet Weyne, Belet Xaawo, Dayniile, Doolow, Gaalkacyo, Garoowe, Hodan, Jamaame, Jowhar, Kahda, Kismaayo, Luuq. ETT is a crisis-based tool that tracks sudden displacement triggered by specific events or emerging crises.

The objective of ETT is to help prioritize humanitarian response and to enable partners to deliver rapid assistance. Based on previous shock induced displacement patterns, the humanitarian community expects that people will continue to move toward urban areas in search of humanitarian services. Consequently, the ETT coverage focuses on the main urban centers and surrounding villages for each assessed district. The data is collected through Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) at the location level, from Sunday to Wednesday every week. It includes information on new arrivals, numbers and demographic of IDPs, reasons for displacement, intentions, humanitarian assistance and priority needs among others.

The ETT tool also adapts to regional contexts: because of the very high number of IDP sites in Khada and Daynile districts in Banadir region and in Baidoa district in Bay region, a zonal approach has been adopted for these areas. Each week, KIIs are first conducted at the zone level to indicate to the field teams which locations have received the most new arrivals and which need to be assessed.

To facilitate the joint analysis of the CCCM (Camp Coordination and Camp Management) Cluster’s New Arrivals Tracker (NAT) and ETT data, the assistance and needs indicators are identical in both tools.

The International Organization for Migration’s (IOM) CNI is used to provide a baseline on living conditions and needs of Afghan nationals in identified settlements rather than providing a detailed overview of multisectoral needs. Subsequent rounds will provide additional details for sectoral interventions. The CNI collect data at the settlement level through group interviews with key informants (KIs) and direct observations. Data was collected between 1 August and 26 September 2023.