Return Intention

IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) collected data on Ukrainian nationals and Third-Country Nationals (TCNs) who crossed back to Ukraine from Poland, either for a temporary stay or permanent return after a period of displacement abroad. The survey focuses on the return intentions, duration of displacement, destinations, assistance, and experiences of discrimination of 361 Ukrainian respondents surveyed between January and March 2024.

IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) collected data on Ukrainian nationals and TCNs (resided in Ukraine before 24 February 2022) that were crossing back to Ukraine from or through Romania, either temporarily or permanently. The survey focuses on the return intentions, duration of displacement, destinations, assistance, and experiences of discrimination of respondents. A total of 1,298 surveys were collected between January and March 2024. Among these, less than one per cent (n=11) were completed by TCNs, while the vast majority, comprising over 99 per cent (n=1,287), were completed by Ukrainian nationals. The analysis presented in this report is based on the responses provided by Ukrainian nationals.

Before crossing back into Ukraine, individuals commonly stayed in Romania (57%), other EU countries (36%) or non-EU countries (6%). Aside from Romania, other countries of residence were Bulgaria (18%), Germany (6%), Italy (4%) or Turkey (3%).

The travel intentions of the surveyed Ukrainian nationals show that most respondents (63%) were “short-term visitors”, while 15 per-cent were prospective returnees. Another 22 per cent were not sure regarding their visit period. Also, most UA citizens were travelling back to their oblast of origin (95%), with most respondents originating from Odeska, Chernivetska, City of Kiyv Mykolaivska or Kersonska.

IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) collected data on Ukrainian nationals and Third-Country Nationals (TCNs) that crossed back to Ukraine from or through Slovakia, either temporarily or permanently. The survey focuses on the return intentions, duration of displacement, destinations, assistance, and experiences of discrimination of respondents. A total of 1,335 surveys were collected between January and March 2024.

Key findings:

• 27% of Ukrainian respondents intend to stay in Ukraine (prospective returnees), while 68% plan to go for a short visit.
• The share of those intending to return to Ukraine is higher among men than women (49% vs 25%). Women are more likely to be crossing into Ukraine for a short visit than men (69% vs 44%).
• Most of the short-term visitors plan to stay in their own home in Ukraine (78% overall), while others report to be going to their relatives’ homes (10%), finding other private solutions (7%) or staying with friends (4%). The share of those planning to stay at home is higher among prospective returnees (98%) than among short-term visitors (78%).
• Reasons for returning for prospective returnees include: visit relatives or close friends (75%), meet with family members (6%), reunite with their family (6%).
• Reasons for returning for short-term visitors include: visit family members (76%), healthcare (26%), reunite with family (21%).
• 64% of the Ukrainian nationals originate from seven regions in Ukraine: Zakarpatska (21%), Kyiv (13%), Kharkivska (8%), Dnipropetrovska (8%), Odeska (6%), Zaporizka (3%), and Mykolaivska (3%). The remaining 36% of respondents come from another 20 regions across Ukraine.

За оцінками МОМ, станом на 15 березня 2024 року близько 3 689 000 осіб залишалися внутрішньо переміщеними особами в Україні, тоді як УВКБ ООН зазначає, що ще 5 930 400 осіб були переміщені за кордон. За оцінками МОМ, станом на 15 березня 2024 року приблизно 4 455 000 осіб спонтанно повернулися до місць свого постійного проживання в Україні після періоду переміщення тривалістю щонайменше два тижні (внутрішнє переміщення або переміщення за кордон). З них 26% повернулися з-за кордону.

Для обґрунтування цільових втручань, спрямованих на зменшення вразливості, зумовленої поганими структурними та соціальними умовами в місцях повернення, Оцінка умов повернення (CoRA) надає детальні дані про те, де відбуваються повернення, яким чином ті, хто повернувся, є найбільш вразливими і чому.

The Mobility Tracking Matrix (MTM) is a system that tracks and monitors population mobility and displacement. MTM is adapted to the context in Kazakhstan based on IOM’s Global Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) methodology. DTM is designed to regularly and systematically capture, process, and disseminate information to provide a better understanding of the movements and evolving needs of mobile population groups, whether on-site or en route. MTM completed its first round of the Baseline Mobility Assessment (BMA) data collection on the district level in January 2023, the second round of BMA on the district level in May 2023, and the third round on the village level in December 2023. MTM enables IOM and its partners to maximize resources, set priorities, and deliver better-targeted, evidence-based, mobility-sensitive, and sustainable humanitarian and development programming.

On 9 March 2024, the IOM’s Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM), in collaboration with WFP and ACTED, conducted a rapid intention survey in Renk TC and its adjacent area to understand the population's return intentions, preferred destinations of return, as well as reasons for choosing to remain in the transit center.

A collection of all DTM Nigeria information products in 2023.

As of 15 March 2024, IOM estimates that around 3,689,000 people remained internally displaced in Ukraine while UNHCR indicates that further 5,930,400 people were displaced abroad. IOM estimates that, as of 15 March 2024, approximately 4,455,000 people have returned spontaneously to their place of habitual residence in Ukraine following a period of displacement of at least two weeks (internal displacement or cross-border). Of these, 26 per cent have returned from abroad.

To inform targeted interventions aimed at alleviating the vulnerability that stems from poor structural and social conditions in areas of return, the Conditions of Return Assessment (CoRA) provides granular data on where returns are occurring, the ways in which those who have returned are most vulnerable and why.

يقدم هذا الملف معلومات عن وضع المهاجرين السودانيين في ليبيا ونقاط ضعفهم، بما في ذلك أولئك الذين وصلوا بعد بداية النزاع في منتصف أبريل 2023، ويقدم تحديثًا لموجز نُشر في مايو 2023.

تستند المعلومات المتعلقة بوضع المهاجرين ونقاط الضعف إلى مقابلات فردية كمية أجرتها مصفوفة تتبع النزوح في ليبيا مع 4,274 مهاجرًا في عام 2023، ما لم يُنص على خلاف ذلك. تستند أرقام  المهاجرين إلى البيانات التي تم جمعها من خلال مقابلات مع مزودي المعلومات.