Somalia Movement Projections


Apr 05 2023 Print

In 2023, Somalia is facing its worst drought for at least 40 years, after five consecutive failed rainy seasons recorded across the country's central and southern regions, and as flooding poses a persistent displacement risk in areas surrounding the Juba and Shabelle river basins. This environmental crisis has combined with ongoing security threats posed by extremist non-state actors to cause one of the world's largest displacement crises, with the number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) totaling around 4 million.

IOM Somalia’s DTM Unit is pleased to make available the Movement Projections Dashboard Round 1 (1 January to 30 June 2023). The pilot version of the dashboard provides projections for the number of IDPs that are estimated to be displaced in the first half of 2023 in the seven districts of Baidoa, Doolow, Belet Weyne, Jowhar, Kismayo, Daynille and Khada (covering 60% of all IDPs in Somalia). The dashboard presents estimated displacements and returns according to the presence of different factors in areas of displacement and origin including drought, flooding, rain, conflict and aid delivery.

In June 2023, DTM will share Round 2 of the dashboard covering the period of 1 July to 31 December 2023, which will include eight additional districts (covering 80% of IDPs).


To access this interactive dashboard, please send email to